Infreemation infreemation

Another candidate for modern oracle?另一名候选人，为现代甲骨文？

What happens if you have more at stake than your reputation when tying your horse to a prediction.发生什么事如果你有更多的股份，比您的声誉时，绑你的马，以一个预测。 What if you have money at stake?如果你有金钱的股份？ Or your job?或您的工作呢？ See this interesting article from TIME.com:看到这个有趣的文章，从time.com ： The End Of Management?年底管理？

Interesting concept that more efficient analysis of strategies and their outcomes may arise from creating a market where accurate predictions are rewarded.有趣的概念，更有效率的策略分析及其结果可能会出现从创造一个市场，准确的预测得到回报。

One small problem is that as anyone in finance, or really anyone who follows the stock market knows that markets are vulnerable to manipulation.一个小问题是，作为任何人在金融，或真正的人谁如下股市都知道，市场容易受到操控。 Implementing an efficient system may require that payoffs are not too low for people to care and aren’t too high for people to cheat.实施一个有效的系统，可能需要的报酬是不是太低的人照顾，并不算太高，为人民的欺骗。 I wonder if this is possible?我不知道如果这是可能的吗？ The problem seems to be generally that those with the most cash to burn can unduly influence the system and obtain the results they are looking for.这个问题似乎被普遍认为是那些最现金，以烧伤可以以不当方式影响系统，并取得结果，他们正在寻找。

Much like special interest groups supporting political parties with fat donations.很像特殊利益集团支持的政党，刘皇发议员捐款。 Obviously the key needs to be appropriate checks and balances…problems arise when the checks and balances themselves can be perturbed via clever investing, say for example by很明显，关键需要得到适当的制衡…出现问题时的制衡，自己可以通过摄动聪明的投资，譬如说，例如由 big media大媒体 . 。