Cloud computing - linear utility or complex ecosystem?云计算-线性的公用或复杂的生态系统?

June 22nd, 2008 | by ian | 2008年6月22日|由伊恩|

Reuven of Enomaly speculates on whether there will be an analogue of路汶• enomaly的推测,是否有将是一个模拟 Moore’s law for cloud computing穆尔定律为云计算 , looking to coin “Ruv’s law.” I would like to see more detail on what it would postulate, presumably a linear relationship between growth in cloud computation and time. ,展望金银纪念币“ ruv的法律。 ”我想看到更详细会怎样设,假定线性关系的增长,云计算和时间。 I think we would also agree this would need to stand the test of time before it would be considered “law.” Moore referred to a rather simple我想我们也同意,这将需要经得起时间的考验,才将被视为“法” 。穆尔提到一个相当简单 relationship between the number of transistors that can economically be used in electronic chips and time之间的关系,晶体管的数量,可以在经济上用在电子晶片和时间 . The cloud is likely to become a very complex ecosystem, and defy simple linear rules of productivity.云很可能成为一个非常复杂的生态系统,和藐视简单的线性规则的生产力。 Rather I would expect the cloud to both behave in unexpected ways and exhibit emergent properties.而不是我期望的云都表现在人们意想不到的方式和展览急诊属性。 On that note I am much more interested in the phase transitions, critical junctures where the properties of the system change radically, and what the underlying causes might be (technological breakthroughs, human behaviour, power shortages).就说明我更感兴趣的,在相变,关键时刻的地方性质的制度彻底改变,有什么背后的原因可能是(技术突破,人类行为的,电力短缺) 。 I wouldn’t be shocked if the behaviour of clouds was as hard to predict as the weather (”5 day forecast calls for a 200 msec second standard deviation in latency with 10% probability of the jitters”) or the stock markets.我不会感到震惊,如果行为的云彩一样难以预料随着天气( “五天预测呼吁建立一个200毫秒第二个标准偏差在潜伏期为10 %的概率忧虑” )或股票市场。 I’m only slightly joking - my early experiences with sharing hosted grid computing resources have been variable (我只是轻微开玩笑-我的早期经验与分享主办的网格运算资源已变( Mediatemple mediatemple and Mosso mosso have low cost plans).有成本低,计划) 。 In any case I look forward to more clarity on cloud structure, composition, performance, any potential “laws” and above all the likelihood of rain… Anyone interested in a lively string of Q&A surrounding the much hyped “cloud computing” revolution should look in on the在任何情况下我期待着更清晰的云结构,组成,性能,任何潜在的“法律”及以上所有的可能性,雨…有兴趣的人士的一个生动的字串的Q &周边得多夸大“云计算”革命看起来应该在关于 Google group for cloud computing Google网上论坛,为云计算 and check what the insightful并检查什么有见地 Alistair Croll阿利斯泰尔croll of …的 Bitcurrent bitcurrent has to say . Lots of folks are trying to define cloud computing these days (check out很多乡亲正试图界定云计算这些天来(签出 defogging the cloud defogging云 for a nice simple explanation), and its hard to do partly due to a Cambrian explosion of diversity which makes the cloud(s) a fast moving target.一个好简单的解释) ,以及其努力做的部分原因是由于一寒武纪爆炸的多样性,使云( )一个快速移动的目标。 As for me, I’m embracing the trend from the web operations trenches while keeping my sense of humour about the hype:至于我,我拥抱的趋势,从Web业务战壕,同时我具有幽默感约炒作: The cloud has everything and the kitchen sink

  1. One Response to “Cloud computing - linear utility or complex ecosystem?” 1回应“云计算-线性的公用或复杂的生态系统” ?

  2. By通过 Michael Sheehan 迈克尔希恩 on在…之上 Jun 23, 2008 2008年6月23日 | Reply回复

    Ian,伊恩,

    Love the “Kitchen Sink” module, for lack of a better term.爱“厨房水槽”模块,由于缺乏一个更美好的任期。 You have some interesting ideas about Moore’s Law.你有一些有趣的想法穆尔定律。 I would almost expect sort of a “scatter bar” type of chart that can be trended similarly to traditional Moore’s law for regular computing.我几乎期望排序的“散射酒吧”式的图表,可以同样的趋势,以传统的摩尔定律,以便进行定期计算。 Cloud Computing will, I would think, be proportionate to advances in technology since it is built on every-day hardware.云计算,我想,相称科技的进步,因为它是建立在每一天的硬件。
    I have been trying to trend Cloud Computing on the GoGrid blog (http://blog.gogrid.com/2008/06/10/trending-various-computing-terms-clouds-are-getting-congested/) but in a much more layman’s way (just with Google Search terms).我一直试图趋势云计算就gogrid博客( http://blog.gogrid.com/2008/06/10/trending-various-computing-terms-clouds-are-getting-congested/ ) ,但在一个多更多门外汉的方式(只是与Google的搜寻字词) 。 Since you mentioned MT and Mosso, you should definitely have GoGrid in your war chest when looking for cloud computing trends.既然你提到的MT和mosso ,你应该绝对有gogrid在您的战争胸部时,寻找云计算的趋势。
    Thanks for the laugh!感谢欢笑!
    -Michael -迈克尔

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