Cloud computing - linear utility or complex ecosystem?雲計算-線性的公用或複雜的生態系統?
June 22nd, 2008 | by ian | 2008年6月22日|由伊恩| Reuven of Enomaly speculates on whether there will be an analogue of路汶• enomaly的推測,是否有將是一個模擬 Moore’s law for cloud computing穆爾定律為雲計算 , looking to coin “Ruv’s law.” I would like to see more detail on what it would postulate, presumably a linear relationship between growth in cloud computation and time. ,展望金銀紀念幣“ ruv的法律。 ”我想看到更詳細會怎樣設,假定線性關係的增長,雲計算和時間。 I think we would also agree this would need to stand the test of time before it would be considered “law.” Moore referred to a rather simple我想我們也同意,這將需要經得起時間的考驗,才將被視為“法” 。穆爾提到一個相當簡單 relationship between the number of transistors that can economically be used in electronic chips and time之間的關係,晶體管的數量,可以在經濟上用在電子晶片和時間 . 。 The cloud is likely to become a very complex ecosystem, and defy simple linear rules of productivity.雲很可能成為一個非常複雜的生態系統,和藐視簡單的線性規則的生產力。 Rather I would expect the cloud to both behave in unexpected ways and exhibit emergent properties.而不是我期望的雲都表現在人們意想不到的方式和展覽急診屬性。 On that note I am much more interested in the phase transitions, critical junctures where the properties of the system change radically, and what the underlying causes might be (technological breakthroughs, human behaviour, power shortages).就說明我更感興趣的,在相變,關鍵時刻的地方性質的制度徹底改變,有什麼背後的原因可能是(技術突破,人類行為的,電力短缺) 。 I wouldn’t be shocked if the behaviour of clouds was as hard to predict as the weather (”5 day forecast calls for a 200 msec second standard deviation in latency with 10% probability of the jitters”) or the stock markets.我不會感到震驚,如果行為的雲彩一樣難以預料隨著天氣( “五天預測呼籲建立一個200毫秒第二個標準偏差在潛伏期為10 %的概率憂慮” )或股票市場。 I’m only slightly joking - my early experiences with sharing hosted grid computing resources have been variable (我只是輕微開玩笑-我的早期經驗與分享主辦的網格運算資源已變( Mediatemple mediatemple and和 Mosso mosso have low cost plans).有成本低,計劃) 。 In any case I look forward to more clarity on cloud structure, composition, performance, any potential “laws” and above all the likelihood of rain… Anyone interested in a lively string of Q&A surrounding the much hyped “cloud computing” revolution should look in on the在任何情況下我期待著更清晰的雲結構,組成,性能,任何潛在的“法律”及以上所有的可能性,雨…有興趣的人士的一個生動的字串的Q &周邊得多誇大“雲計算”革命看起來應該在關於 Google group for cloud computing Google網上論壇,為雲計算 and check what the insightful並檢查什麼有見地 Alistair Croll阿利斯泰爾croll of …的 Bitcurrent bitcurrent has有 to至 say說 . 。 Lots of folks are trying to define cloud computing these days (check out很多鄉親正試圖界定雲計算這些天來(簽出 defogging the cloud defogging雲 for a nice simple explanation), and its hard to do partly due to a Cambrian explosion of diversity which makes the cloud(s) a fast moving target.一個好簡單的解釋) ,以及其努力做的部分原因是由於一寒武紀爆炸的多樣性,使雲( )一個快速移動的目標。 As for me, I’m embracing the trend from the web operations trenches while keeping my sense of humour about the hype:至於我,我擁抱的趨勢,從Web業務戰壕,同時我具有幽默感約炒作: 















One Response to “Cloud computing - linear utility or complex ecosystem?” 1回應“雲計算-線性的公用或複雜的生態系統” ?
By通過 Michael Sheehan 邁克爾希恩 on在…之上 Jun 23, 2008 2008年6月23日 | Reply回复
Ian,伊恩,
Love the “Kitchen Sink” module, for lack of a better term.愛“廚房水槽”模塊,由於缺乏一個更美好的任期。 You have some interesting ideas about Moore’s Law.你有一些有趣的想法穆爾定律。 I would almost expect sort of a “scatter bar” type of chart that can be trended similarly to traditional Moore’s law for regular computing.我幾乎期望排序的“散射酒吧”式的圖表,可以同樣的趨勢,以傳統的摩爾定律,以便進行定期計算。 Cloud Computing will, I would think, be proportionate to advances in technology since it is built on every-day hardware.雲計算,我想,相稱科技的進步,因為它是建立在每一天的硬件。
I have been trying to trend Cloud Computing on the GoGrid blog (http://blog.gogrid.com/2008/06/10/trending-various-computing-terms-clouds-are-getting-congested/) but in a much more layman’s way (just with Google Search terms).我一直試圖趨勢雲計算就gogrid博客( http://blog.gogrid.com/2008/06/10/trending-various-computing-terms-clouds-are-getting-congested/ ) ,但在一個多更多門外漢的方式(只是與Google的搜尋字詞) 。 Since you mentioned MT and Mosso, you should definitely have GoGrid in your war chest when looking for cloud computing trends.既然你提到的MT和mosso ,你應該絕對有gogrid在您的戰爭胸部時,尋找雲計算的趨勢。
Thanks for the laugh!感謝歡笑!
-Michael -邁克爾